February 20, 2020


“Still Lower for Still Longer” seems to sum up where we are for interest rates, inflation, many sectors of the economy as well as many financial assets – all except the US stock market.  The US stock market seems to be able to shake off the many headwinds of slowing Global growth which has been exacerbated by the coronavirus hit to global trade, persistent weak US manufacturing data, and let’s not forget continued unce...

  • Markets fell late last year, pricing in many potential risks

  • Global equities have started strong this year

  • We continue to be optimistic for three primary reasons: Fed pause, trade resolution, and a strong economy.

In 2018, U.S. equities, as measured by the S&P 500, posted their worst year in a decade. The year was characterized by a return of volatility, marked by several record-setting highs followed by sharp reversals. Desp...

  • Global growth concerns sent equity markets down over 3%.

  • The selloff affected bond markets, as investors moved to longer dated Treasurys.

  • We remain cautiously optimistic.

Equity markets are declining sharply ahead of Wednesday’s market holiday to honor the late President George H.W. Bush. Investors are shifting from stocks to longer maturity, safe haven Treasurys. This reallocation has sent bond prices higher, causing bond yi...

Here we are at the mid-point of the third quarter and I think it’s safe to say that despite some headwinds and uncertainty the economy remains in good shape. A good economy generally goes hand in hand with a good stock market. Market trends follow companies’ earnings, and the most recent round of reporting showed a strong double-digit year over year growth. The effects of tax cuts should be seen in continued profits, particularly in the smal...

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